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Predicting Building Energy Consumption Using Stacking-Based Ensemble Model

Received: 18 February 2023    Accepted: 27 May 2023    Published: 28 May 2023
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Abstract

With the development of urbanization, the smart city is gradually receiving widespread attention. The construction industry accounts for nearly half of China's total carbon emissions, which is one of the main contributors to the greenhouse effect. Accurate prediction of building energy consumption is of vital significance for energy conservation and smart city development. However, the traditional statistical methods for building energy consumption prediction have some problems such as low fitting accuracy and inaccurate prediction results. Machine learning algorithms are developing rapidly, which have significantly improved the predictive accuracy of building energy consumption. In this study, a stacking-based ensemble learning model based on architectural features is proposed. The building energy consumption mainly consists of the heating load and cooling load, which are used as target variables to predict the building energy consumption. Firstly, the normalized preprocessing is performed on the raw data. Subsequently, the ensemble model is obtained by integrating the optimal base predictors using stacking-based ensemble learning method. In the experiments, the dataset from the building energy area is tested with three metrics to evaluate the performance of the proposed model in building energy consumption prediction. The experimental results show that the proposed ensemble model outperforms the base predictors in solving the building energy consumption prediction problem.

Published in American Journal of Energy Engineering (Volume 11, Issue 2)
DOI 10.11648/j.ajee.20231102.14
Page(s) 61-66
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2023. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Machine Learning, Prediction, Stacking, Ensemble Model, Building Energy Consumption

References
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Cite This Article
  • APA Style

    Chang Lu, Yining Jing, Xinxue Lin, Kun Li. (2023). Predicting Building Energy Consumption Using Stacking-Based Ensemble Model. American Journal of Energy Engineering, 11(2), 61-66. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajee.20231102.14

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    ACS Style

    Chang Lu; Yining Jing; Xinxue Lin; Kun Li. Predicting Building Energy Consumption Using Stacking-Based Ensemble Model. Am. J. Energy Eng. 2023, 11(2), 61-66. doi: 10.11648/j.ajee.20231102.14

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    AMA Style

    Chang Lu, Yining Jing, Xinxue Lin, Kun Li. Predicting Building Energy Consumption Using Stacking-Based Ensemble Model. Am J Energy Eng. 2023;11(2):61-66. doi: 10.11648/j.ajee.20231102.14

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  • @article{10.11648/j.ajee.20231102.14,
      author = {Chang Lu and Yining Jing and Xinxue Lin and Kun Li},
      title = {Predicting Building Energy Consumption Using Stacking-Based Ensemble Model},
      journal = {American Journal of Energy Engineering},
      volume = {11},
      number = {2},
      pages = {61-66},
      doi = {10.11648/j.ajee.20231102.14},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajee.20231102.14},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ajee.20231102.14},
      abstract = {With the development of urbanization, the smart city is gradually receiving widespread attention. The construction industry accounts for nearly half of China's total carbon emissions, which is one of the main contributors to the greenhouse effect. Accurate prediction of building energy consumption is of vital significance for energy conservation and smart city development. However, the traditional statistical methods for building energy consumption prediction have some problems such as low fitting accuracy and inaccurate prediction results. Machine learning algorithms are developing rapidly, which have significantly improved the predictive accuracy of building energy consumption. In this study, a stacking-based ensemble learning model based on architectural features is proposed. The building energy consumption mainly consists of the heating load and cooling load, which are used as target variables to predict the building energy consumption. Firstly, the normalized preprocessing is performed on the raw data. Subsequently, the ensemble model is obtained by integrating the optimal base predictors using stacking-based ensemble learning method. In the experiments, the dataset from the building energy area is tested with three metrics to evaluate the performance of the proposed model in building energy consumption prediction. The experimental results show that the proposed ensemble model outperforms the base predictors in solving the building energy consumption prediction problem.},
     year = {2023}
    }
    

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  • TY  - JOUR
    T1  - Predicting Building Energy Consumption Using Stacking-Based Ensemble Model
    AU  - Chang Lu
    AU  - Yining Jing
    AU  - Xinxue Lin
    AU  - Kun Li
    Y1  - 2023/05/28
    PY  - 2023
    N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajee.20231102.14
    DO  - 10.11648/j.ajee.20231102.14
    T2  - American Journal of Energy Engineering
    JF  - American Journal of Energy Engineering
    JO  - American Journal of Energy Engineering
    SP  - 61
    EP  - 66
    PB  - Science Publishing Group
    SN  - 2329-163X
    UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajee.20231102.14
    AB  - With the development of urbanization, the smart city is gradually receiving widespread attention. The construction industry accounts for nearly half of China's total carbon emissions, which is one of the main contributors to the greenhouse effect. Accurate prediction of building energy consumption is of vital significance for energy conservation and smart city development. However, the traditional statistical methods for building energy consumption prediction have some problems such as low fitting accuracy and inaccurate prediction results. Machine learning algorithms are developing rapidly, which have significantly improved the predictive accuracy of building energy consumption. In this study, a stacking-based ensemble learning model based on architectural features is proposed. The building energy consumption mainly consists of the heating load and cooling load, which are used as target variables to predict the building energy consumption. Firstly, the normalized preprocessing is performed on the raw data. Subsequently, the ensemble model is obtained by integrating the optimal base predictors using stacking-based ensemble learning method. In the experiments, the dataset from the building energy area is tested with three metrics to evaluate the performance of the proposed model in building energy consumption prediction. The experimental results show that the proposed ensemble model outperforms the base predictors in solving the building energy consumption prediction problem.
    VL  - 11
    IS  - 2
    ER  - 

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Author Information
  • School of Urban Design, Wuhan University, Wuhan, China

  • School of Urban Design, Wuhan University, Wuhan, China

  • School of Resource and Environmental Sciences, Wuhan University, Wuhan, China

  • School of Urban Design, Wuhan University, Wuhan, China

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